Multiple Linear Regression Applied to football
Abstract
Predetermine the outcome of the Brazilian championship in 2017, through a regression model 2016. Looking through the Excel 2007 software and R-Studio, the second responsible for finding the best equation among the variables with a p-value (0, 05) and achieved a R² = 93.09%, which were obtained through the Professional Soccer Statistics System (FootStat Premium). Using the first twenty-seven rounds of the year to be set in the found formula, one can observe the estimated table, where it should take into consideration that the work is done by medium and a change can change your estimated position and so was observed in some clubs after the end of the championship. Thus it was obtained two forecast tables where the first with all the variables and the second with three, so finding similar results and even certain, however as expected some teams that have improved the average at the end of the season achieved better positions than planned.
References
-Bottaro, L.E.V. Análise de scout em partidas de futebol finalizações da equipe do Cruzeiro Esporte Clube nos jogos da fase de grupos da Taça Libertadores da América do ano de 2009. Disponível em <http://www.eeffto.ufmg.br/biblioteca/1791.pdf>. Acesso em 24 de out. de 2017.
-Carravetta, E.S.P. Modernização da Gestão do Futebol Brasileiro,2006. Editora AGE. Disponível em <https://books.google.com.br/books?hl=pt-BR&lr=&id=UTWg8rIgYjoC&oi=fnd&pg=PA15&dq=scout+futebol+economia&ots=Gjig2IzFzQ&
sig=SkTY6FNzDggKovb9wEbQf3gUwps#v=onepage&q=scout%20futebol%20economia&f=false>. Acesso em 26/10/2017.
-Confederação Brasileira de Futebol. Disponível em<https://www.cbf.com.br>. Acesso em 24/10/2017.
-Cunha, S. A.; Binotto, M. R.; Barros, R. M. L. Análise da variabilidade na medição de posicionamento tático no futebol. Revista Paulista de Educação Física. p. 111-116. 2001.
-Ferraz, D.M.M.Casas de apostas online estudo exploratório sobre a satisfação e fidelização do cliente no mercado de apostas desportivo. Disponível em <https://repositorio-aberto.up.pt/bitstream/10216/57322/2/TeseMDiogoFerraz2011.pdf>. Acesso em 24/10/2017.
-Garganta, J. A análise da performance nos jogos desportivos. Revisão acerca da análise do jogo. Revista Portuguesa de Ciências do Desporto. Vol. 1. Num. 57. p. 57-64. 2001.
-Itaú. BBA. Disponível em <https://www.itau.com.br/_arquivosestaticos/itauBBA/contents/common/docs/Analise_dos_Clubes_Brasileiros_de_Futebol_Itau_BBA_2017.pdf>. Acesso em 27/10/2017.
-Sistema Profissional de Estatísticas de Futebol. Disponível em <https://www.footstats.com.br/>. Acesso em 23/10/2017.
-Vendite, C.C.; Moraes, A.C.; Vendite A.C. Scout no Futebol: Uma ferramenta Para a Imprensa Esportiva. Disponível em . Acesso em 24/10/2017.
Authors who publish in this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain the copyright and grant the journal the right of first publication, with work simultaneously licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution License BY-NC which allows the sharing of the work with acknowledgment of the authorship of the work and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are authorized to enter into additional contracts separately for non-exclusive distribution of the version of the work published in this journal (eg, publishing in institutional repository or book chapter), with acknowledgment of authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are allowed and encouraged to post and distribute their work online (eg, in institutional repositories or on their personal page) at any point before or during the editorial process, as this can bring about productive change as well as increase impact and impact. citation of published work (See The Effect of Free Access).