Investigating the home advantage in the world's prestigious football leagues before and after the outbreak of covid-19

  • Ebrahim Alidoust Ghahfarokhi Associate Professor, Sport Management Department, Faculty of Physical Education and Sport Sciences, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
  • Sajad Soroush Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Kermanshah Branch, Islamic Azad University, Kermanshah, Iran
  • Hosein Hasanbeigi MSc, Sport Management Department, Faculty of Physical Education and Sport Sciences, University of Shahid Rajayi, Tehran, Iran.
Keywords: Covid-19., Ligas de Futebol, Home Advantage, Spectators

Abstract

The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of the COVID-19 (absence of spectators) on the results of football teams in 5 popular leagues in the world (English Premier League, Italian Serie A, Spanish LaLiga, German Bundesliga and French Ligue 1). This research was descriptive-comparative. Therefore, the results of football teams were analyzed from the 2015/16 season to the middle of the 2019/20 season (before COVID) and the continuation of the 2019/20 season to the 2020/21 season (after COVID). The number of matches analyzed was 10,853, including 2,546 after COVID matches. The variables that were analyzed were: home Advantage, ratio of goals scored (HGSR) and ratio of goals conceded (HGCR) in home games. The results of t-test showed a significant decrease in home advantage (p=0.044) only in the German Bundesliga. In addition, in the EPL, none of the variables showed a significant difference. In the Italian, German and French leagues, HGCR increased significantly after COVID pandemic (p<0.04). In the Spanish league, HGSR showed a significant decrease (p<0.04). In this study, only the absence of spectators over home advantage was examined. Although spectators may influence the results, teams still perform better at home in the COVID pandemic duration. So, we can conclude the location of the events can be important. Also, the referees can be unfairly biased in favor of one side or another by the presence of crowds. Hence, future research may examine other factors.

References

-Allen, M. S.; Jones, M. V. The home advantage over the first 20 seasons of the English Premier League: Effects of shirt colour, team ability and time trends. International Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology. Vol. 12. Núm. 1. p. 10-18. 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1612197X.2012.756230

-Bas, D.; Martin, M.; Pollack, C.; Venne, R. United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, POLICY BRIEF NO73. The impact of COVID-19 on sport, physical activity and well-being and its effects on social developmen. 2020. https://www.un.org/development/desa/dspd/2020/05/covid-19-sport

-Boudreaux, C. J.; Sanders, S. D.; Walia, B. A natural experiment to determine the crowd effect upon home court advantage. Journal of Sports Economics. Vol. 18. Núm. 7. p. 737-749. 2017.

-Boyko, R. H.; Boyko, A. R.; Boyko, M. G. Referee bias contributes to home advantage in English Premiership football. Journal of sports sciences. Vol. 25. Núm. 11. p.1185-1194. 2007.‏

-Clarke, S. R.; Norman, J. M. Home ground advantage of individual clubs in English soccer. The Statistician. Vol. 44. p. 509-521. 1995.

-Courneya, K.; Carron, A. the home advantage in sport competitions: A literature review. Journal of Sport & Exercise Psychology. Vol. 14. p.13-27. 1992.

-Dantes, F.; Borges, A.; Silva, R. Impact of UEFA Champions League and UEFA Europa League on Financial Sustainability-Case Study of Two Small Football Portuguese Teams. Sustainability. Vol. 12. p.9213. 2020. doi: 10.3390/su12219213.

-Dawson, P.; Dobson, S.; Goddard, J.; Wilson, J. Are football referees really biased and inconsistent? Evidence on the incidence of disciplinary sanction in the English Premier League’. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society). Vol. 170. Núm. 1. 231-250. 2007.

-Dilger, A.; Vischer, L. No Home Bias in Ghost Games, Discussion Paper of the Institute for Organisational Economics. Vol. 7. 2020.

-Endrich, M.; Gesche, T. Home-Bias in Referee Decisions: Evidence from 'Ghost Matches During the COVID-19 Pandemic', Center for Law and Economics Working Paper Series Núm. 9. 2020.

-EPFL. European Leagues Fan Attendance Report. 2018. Accessed 08-25-2020. URL: https://europeanleagues.com/wp-content/uploads/FINAL-EPFL FA 18-VERSION-2018.01.12.pdf

-Eshghi, K.; Kazemi, R. M.; Aghazadeh, H.; Hedayatnia, A. Evaluating Sport Sponsorship Model among Soccer Fans in Iran. Business and Management Research. Vol. 2. Núm. 2. p.37-51. 2013.

-Evans, A.B.J.; Blackwell, P.; Dolan, J.; Fahlen, R.; Hoekman, V.; Lenneis, G.; McNarry, M.; Smith, L. Sport in the Face of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Towards an Agenda for Research in the Sociology of Sport. European Journal for Sport and Society. Vol. 17. Núm. 2. p.85-95. 2020. doi:10.1080/16138171.2020.1765100.

-Ferraresi, M.; Gucciardi, G. Team performance and audience: experimental evidence from the football sector. Working papers 94, Società Italiana di Economia Pubblica. 2020.

-Fischer, K.; Haucap, J. Does Crowd Support Drive the Home Advantage in Professional Soccer? Evidence from German Ghost Games during the COVID-19 Pandemic, DICE Discussion Paper Núm. 344. 2020.

-Forrest, D.; Beaumont, J.; Goddard, J.; Simmons, R. Home Advantage and the Debate about Competitive Balance in Professional Sports Leagues. Journal of Sports Sciences. Vol. 23. Núm. 4. p.439-45. 2005. https://doi. org/10.1080/02640410400021641.

-Goller, D.; Krumer, A. Let's meet as usual: Do games played on non-frequent days differ? Evidence from top European soccer leagues. European journal of operational research. Vol. 286. Num. 2. p.740-754. 2020.‏

-Herold, E.; Boronczyk, F.; Breuer, C. Professional Clubs as Platforms in Multi-Sided Markets in Times of COVID-19: The Role of Spectators and Atmosphere in Live Football’. Sustainability. Vol. 13. Núm. 2312. 2021. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13042312.

-Inan, T. An Analysis of the Impact of the Change in Scoring System on Home Field Advantage Soccer Leagues. Universal Journal of Educational Research. Vol. 6. Núm. 5. p. 823-829. 2018.

-Johnson, R. On referee bias, crowd size, and home advantage in the English soccer Premiership. Journal of Sports Sciences. Vol. 26. Núm. 6. p. 563-568. 2008.

Konaka, E. Home advantage of European major football leagues under COVID-19 pandemic. arXiv preprint arXiv:2101.00457. 2021.

-Koyama, M.; Reade, J. J. Playing like the home team: An economic investigation into home advantage in football.’ International Journal of Sport Finance. Vol. 4. Núm. 1. p.16-412. 2021.

-Krumer, A.; Lechner, M. Midweek Effect on Soccer Performance: Evidence From the German Bundesliga, Economic Inquiry. Vol. 56. Núm. 1. p. 193-207. 2018.

-Krumer, A. Testing the Effect of Kick-Off Time in the UEFA Europa League. European Sport Management Quarterly. Vol. 20. Núm. 2. p.225-238. 2020.

-Leite, W. Home advantage: comparison between the major European football leagues. Athens Journal of Sports. Vol. 4. p.65-74. 2017.

-Marek, P.; Vávra, F. Comparison of home advantage in European football leagues. Risks. Vol. 8. Núm. 3. p.87. 2020.‏

-McCarrick, D. J.; Bilalic, M.; Neave, N.; Wolfson, S. Home Advantage during the COVID-19 Pandemic in European football. 2020. PsyArXiv. August 11. doi:10.31234/osf.io/2gkht

-Mota, G.R.; Santos, I.A.; Marocolo, M. Change in Soccer Substitutions Rule Due to COVID-19: Why Only Five Substitutions? Front. Sports Act. Living. 2020. 2:588369. doi: 10.3389/fspor.2020.588369

-Nevill, A. M.; Balmer, N. J.; Williams, A. M. The influence of crowd noise and experience upon refereeing decisions in football. Psychology of Sport and Exercise. Vol. 3. Núm. 4. p. 261-272. 2002.

-Parnell, D.; Widdop, P.; Bond, A.; Wilson, R. COVID-19, networks and sport, Managing Sport and Leisure. p.1-7. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/23750472.2020.1750100.

-Peeters, T.; Van Ours, J. C. Seasonal Home Advantage in English Professional Football, 1974-2018’. De Economist. Vol. 169. Núm. 1. p.107-126. 2021.‏

-Pettersson-Lidbom, P.; Priks, M. Behavior under Social Pressure: Empty Italian Stadiums and Referee Bias. Economics Letters. Vol. 108. Núm. 2. p.212-14. 2010. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2010.04.023.

-Poli, R.; Besson, R.; Ravenel, L. Attendances in Football Stadia (2003-2018). Neuchâtel: CIES. 2019. URL: https://football-observatory.com/IMG/sites/mr/mr44/en

-Pollard, R. Home advantage in soccer: A retrospective analysis. Journal of Sport Sciences. Vol. 4. p. 237-248. 1986.

-Pollard, R. Home advantage in soccer: variations in its magnitude and a literature review of the associated factors associated with its existence. Journal of Sport Behavior. Vol. 29. p.169-189. 2006.

-Pollard, R. Home advantage in football: a current review for an unsolved puzzle. The Open Sports Sciences Journal. Vol. 1. p.12-14. 2008.

-Pollard, R.; Pollard, G. Long-term trends in home advantage in professional team sports in North America and England (1876-2003). Journal of Sports Sciences. Vol. 23. p.337-350. 2005.

-Ponzo, M.; Scoppa, V. Does the home advantage depend on crowd support? Evidence from same-stadium derbies. Journal of Sports Economics. Vol. 19. Núm. 4. p.562-582. 2018.‏

-Reade, J. J.; Singleton, C. Demand for public events in the COVID-19 pandemic: a case study of European football. European Sport Management Quarterly. p.1-15. 2020.‏

-Rocha, B.; Sanches, F.; Souza, I.; Carlos Domingos da Silva, J. Does monitoring affect corruption? Career concerns and home bias in football refereeing. Applied Economics Letters. Vol. 20. Núm. 8. p. 728-731. 2013.

-Scoppa, V. Are subjective evaluations biased by social factors or connections? An econometric analysis of soccer referee decisions. Empirical Economics. Vol. 35. Núm. 1. p. 123-140. 2008.

-Scoppa, V. Social Pressure in the Stadiums: Do Agents Change Behavior without Crowd Support?, IZA Discussion Paper. Núm. 13595. 2020.

-Seckin, A.; Pollard, R. Home advantage in Turkish professional soccer. Perceptual and Motor Skills. Vol. 107. p. 51-54. 2008.

-Szymanski, S. COVID-19 and Football Club Insolvency. 2020. Mimeo.

-Van Damme, N.; Baert, S. Home Advantage in European International Soccer: Which Dimension of Distance Matters?, Economics E-Journal. Vol. 13. Núm. 50. p. 1-17. 2019.

-Van Ours, J. C.; Van Tuijl, M. A. In-Season Head-Coach Dismissals and the Performance of Professional Football Teams. Economic Inquiry. Vol. 54. Núm. 1. p. 591-604. 2016.

Published
2022-06-20
How to Cite
Ghahfarokhi, E. A., Soroush, S., & Hasanbeigi, H. (2022). Investigating the home advantage in the world’s prestigious football leagues before and after the outbreak of covid-19. RBFF - Brazilian Journal of Futsal and Football, 14(57), 119-129. Retrieved from https://www.rbff.com.br/index.php/rbff/article/view/1222
Section
Scientific Articles - Original